Dec
You can refer to my previous post about why am writing this series of posts here.
There was a huge internet ballyhoo recently upon the discovery of years of emails from the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia that appeared to show scientists engaging in all manner of decidedly unscientific behavior when studying and publishing results that purport to show a planet slowly (or rapidly) being brought to a boiling point by the wanton production of Carbon Dioxide from modern industrial society.
For those who are skeptical of the entire AGW (if you don’t know already AGW is shorthand for Anthropogenic (or man-made) Global Warming as opposed to Global Warming caused by natural events) theory and I count myself as one of the the news hardly came as a surprise. However the reaction of those who support the AGW theory was in a word disappointing.
The typical reaction to date has consisted of the tried and true “taken out of context” canard that is now the reflex response of every politician whose words have gone beyond the heavily managed and mangled utterances their spin doctors and handlers allow them to make in public.
However I have seen very few AGW defenders explain exactly what the context was. Just to say something was taken out of context and then moving on is not a defense but an avoidance.
Which brings me to my second point. The other defense being mounted on the pro-AGW side is that this is a minor thing and doesn’t bear discussion because in the grand scheme of things so much other data exists proving the theory that the CRU results can be thrown out altogether but the science behind AGW is still solid.
That may be true but it is hardly the way to handle the matter. Any good public relations professional will tell you that the best way to handle a PR problem is to confront it head on and to be open and honest as possible (Tiger Woods take note – you need new PR advisors).
Good PR people will also tell you that while public relations nightmares seem to be incredibly damaging initially with some work they can be turned into opportunities to bring more people around to your point of view. Having said this I am now going to give the AGW proponents some advice on how to turn Climategate to their advantage and in turn help their cause (if indeed it is worth helping)
The first thing AGW defenders have to do is stop ignoring or downplaying this. The main criticism that has been leveled at AWG proponents by skeptics over the years has been that the science is flawed or at the very least somewhat suspect. The CRU emails play right into this theory and pretending that this is not big deal is the worst thing to do.
If the AGW theory loses all credibility with the public because of the perception that the data was not only flawed but deliberately manipulated then this becomes not only a problem for climate scientists but for all scientists. Unless the CRU controversy is dealt wit properly the ramifications could go beyond climate change research and into full blown and hysterical skepticism of all branches of science – and that is not a helpful situation.
Those who want to defend the science behind the AGW theory should be the ones at the forefront of the criticism of the CRU in East Anglia. If you really believe your science is solid you should be the most outraged over all of this. Why? Because if you are a climate scientist and have been diligently and honestly working on this for years independently of the CRU folks then you have suddenly been tarred with the same brush and guilt by association is as difficult to escape from as being just plain guilty.,
So what to do? There is an old saying in Judo that goes :”When an opponent appears welcome him, when he leaves send him on his way”. The saying illustrates one of the key principles of Judo (and Aikido) which is to defeat an opponent using his own momentum. It is true in martial arts and often it is true in life.
So how to use the opponents momentum in this case? Simple all climate researchers who wish to divorce themselves from the stink coming out of East Anglia must adopt the weapon of many successful technology companies: Open source your data.
That’s right make your data and findings widely available on the net to anyone. Allow the critics to examine it pick it apart critique it and try to destroy it.
If the data is solid it will hold up. If it isn’t then any scientist should welcome the discovery of errors, after all what what scientist with any ounce of integrity would want to build his or her career on bad data and false findings?
One of the features of my business is that I have to collect, track and manage a lot of information over the course of the work I do. I am rarely asked by my clients to share the actual information but on occasions when a project is not going well they do ask to see my work. I gladly share it with them and welcome any critique no matter how hard they might be on me. Why? Because I am 100% confident in my work and I am 100% confident in what my data tells me because I know I haven’t fudged anything.
So if you are a climate scientist and you are 100% confident in your work and your findings why would you want to hide behind the plaintive and mealy mouthed defenses that we hear mounted by those who are now on the defensive because of the hacked CRU emails?
These defenses are wishy-washy and only hurt your cause and along with the other critiques of AGW skeptics like calling them deniers, dismissing them because they haven’t had peer reviewed work or smearing them by suggesting they are in the pay of oil companies make you look like you aren’t confident in your own work.
If you are confident in your own work and someone criticizes or questions it you should be happy to address these criticisms because you can only make your case stronger by how you respond to such criticisms. And if you respond well you will only gain supporters.
I am perfectly willing to accept the AGW theory if it stands up to rigorous scientific scrutiny but when those who expound the theory react like school children when anyone dares ask a question it doesn’t really give me confidence that they themselves believe in their own work.
So here’s the challenge: open source your data. Embrace criticism in the name of science.
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