Brian Burke
You could probably make a case that Brian Burke is not the absolute best GM to rebuild an NHL team. You might be right. However Burke is one of the top GM’s in the league and there are very few GMs that the Leafs could have had that would have been better. Sure Ken Holland in Detroit and maybe David Poile in Nashville would have been superior choices but neither was a remote possibility and Burke is probably one of the top 5 GMs in hockey. His arrival has instantly put an end to one of the annoying TSM (Toronto Sports Media - the hive not the excellent blog) meme that the Leafs “have no plan”. Burke has a plan - he wants his team to be tougher, bigger, meaner and more competitive. Or as he put it “truculent” (I looked that up, it has nothing to do with trucks). Whether Burke can bring the leafs to a championship is hard to predict. However he will without any doubt fashion this team into a solid top tier contender that will be knocking on the door within 5 years. Equally as important he will build a team that will be nasty and that other teams will flat out hate to play against.
Burke’s other great talent (aside from hockey mgt) is his ability to handle the media. There are few GMs who can stomach the relentless pressure of living in a hockey mad city with three newspapers, three sports TV networks and two radio stations devoting coverage to the Leafs (rumor has it that Poile wouldn’t entertain overtures from the Leafs for that very reason). Burke is one of them. One of the interesting things that we we’ve learned is that he is pretty consistent in his message. And he has a sense of confidence about him that JFJ didn’t. This is important because once the media smells blood you’re done in this town.
Burke also has gone out of his way to make the players feel they are being treated fairly. Calling some players up to allow other teams to claim them (which in part may have been contract juggling) and steadfastly refusing to ask players to waive NTCs has certainly put an end to any speculation as to what might happen to certain players and may be setting the table to attract premier free agents this year, not just over the hill types who want to finish out their careers as overpaid pseudo-saviors in Toronto
He’s also shown that he is willing to change his mind - now saying that Kaberle could very well be a key piece going forward.
His performance at the trade deadline wasn’t dramatic but he told everyone that it wouldn’t be. His real test will come in the upcoming (and future) draft as well as the free agent market.
Ron Wilson
As evidenced by the performance of this team over the past two games without Antropov, Moore, Kaberle and (last night) Toskala. Wilson can flat out coach. Most teams would have bailed when missing a few key components but Wilson coaxed a victory and an ot loss out of them for three out of four possible points against two bona-fide Cup contenders.
In addition (which is no help to Tank Nation) he has taken a team bereft of Mats Sundin and Brian McCabe and despite some pretty shoddy goaltending fashioned the same point total that Paul Maurice’s “playoff guaranteed” squad had at this point last year.
Wilson has no qualms about sitting players, effectively ending the cult of worship that previously existed which kept any criticism of players under wraps while the city at large adored them. Players now feel the unflinching eye of the entire city focused upon them if they don’t perform. And Wilson is right. In an era of multi-millionaire star players there is precious little a coach can do to turn a player around. It seems that public shaming as distasteful as it might be to some certainly has worked. Case in point: Jason Blake who has recovered his scoring touch and could crack 30 goals this year after a miserable start. Case in point two: Matt Stajan who was banished to the press box earlier this year and returned to begin putting up career numbers.
Wilson’s acerbic style may wear thin sooner than later but for the moment he is the best coach for this team. As the talent level upgrades expect to see a climb in the standings.
John Mitchell
Earlier in the season during a game against the Rangers John Mitchell took control of the game in the third period and led the Leafs to a stunning victory over what was then a very hot Rangers squad. He seemed to disappear after that (I believe he did have an shoulder injury for a while) and toiled on the fourth line until the trade of Domenic Moore elevated him over the past two games and he has been a key contributor in both contests. Mitchell has shown flashes of brilliance in the offensive zone. When he is on his game he controls the play and is able to stickhandle in a phone book. More importantly he doesn’t panic. His heads up play which led to Kubina’s goal last night was a tantalizing example of what might be expected if Mitchell can continue to hone his craft. Worst case scenario he will be an excellent third line center. Best case he could be a top six power forward. Neither of those options is a bad thing.
Jiri Tlusty
Around the time Brian Burke rode into town I figured Jiri Tlusty would be a goner. His stints with the leafs were uninspired to say the least. He often looked lost. It didn’t help that he was bounced back and forth between the Marlies and the big club either. When Burke arrived my prediction was that Tlusty would be shipped out as a throw in as part of a larger deal.
But what a difference two months make. Tlusty was sent to the Marlies permanently and has responded by tearing up the AHL. Several media types have been saying he is the best player in the AHL right now. Tlusty has been scoring at a torrid pace and has 56 points in 50 games. Many of those have come in February where he was AHL player of the month. In that span Tlusty had 12 goals and 23 points in 11 games. He matched a franchise record with four assists in a win over Grand Rapids on Feb. 8 and set a team mark by scoring five goals against Syracuse 10 days later. Not to be outdone he then had a 6 point game on March 4th shattering his earlier record and helping his team defeat the Providence Bruins 6-4 (Tukka Rask gave up all 6 in case you are wondering).
Currently Tlusty stands 11th in AHL scoring but only two other players in the top ten are young enough to be called true prospects. The others are all 25 and over and are more or less AHL lifers. If Tlusty can translate his production to the NHL he will instantly crack one of the top two lines for the Leafs next year.
Luke Schenn
Despite the mutterings of a certain Toronto Star columnist Schenn is not, nor has he been touted as an offensive defenseman. Schenn is a rugged stay at home defender who plays with poise beyond his years and has plenty of runway to develop into a bonafide superstar. Considering that most defensemen don’t hit their stride till age 24-25 one wonders just how good this kid can get. Expect a sophomore step back next year but he could very well be the future captain of this franchise.
High Draft Picks
A lottery pick would be nice and don’t discount Burkie making a trade up on draft day to get into the top five or top two but still this year’s depth in the draft means there will be plenty of good players left in slots 5-9. and if the rebuild continues into 2010 there’s this kid with the Windsor Spitfires named Taylor Hall…..
College Free Agents
Not bound by the entry level contract rules Burke can aggressively go out and pursue players from the College market and rumors are that he intends to do so. The Leafs are in a position to outbid many teams because of their cap room and because of the financial challenges that currently are hitting several teams. A free agent signing or two on this front would further add prospects that don’t require trades or tanking to acquire. Potential acquisitions on the college front are: University of Denver sophomore sniper Tyler Bozak, University of North Dakota senior and 2007 Hobey Baker recipient Ryan Duncan, Boston University senior defenseman and Hobey Baker candidate Matt Gilroy, and Notre Dame senior center Christian Hanson.
Cap Space Galore
More than top draft picks or prospects it seems that the biggest thing on GM’s shopping list these days is cap space, lots of cap space. And for the first time since the cap era began the Leafs have plenty. 17 million at this point and possibly more if they shed more contracts this summer. Burke says he intends to be very aggressive on the free agent front and I hope that means free agent signings and turning the screws on cash strapped teams through RFA offer sheets. Jay Boumeister and Mike Cammalleri seem to be the two best on the market this year and I don’t know if the Leafs are willing to pay what Jay Bo is looking for but if Burke deals Kubina or Kaberle he would certainly have the money to get in the game.
Kaberle/Kubina
The final two players remaining from the infamous “Muskoka 5″ of last year both would prefer to stay in Toronto and Burke has spoken positively of both players. But they are both eligible to be traded this summer and if he gets the right offer expect Burke to pull the trigger. Kaberle is the most affordable and is a rare commodity in this league ( puck moving defenseman) however he has looked shaky this year and some feel he hasn’t been the same since his concussion last season. Kubina is rounding into his late season post deadline form and using his blistering shot to great advantage. However Pavel makes 5 million and if it takes another 1.5 to get Jay Bo it might be a no-brainer for Burke. If both remain they are still excellent defenders with a lot of life left in them. Win-win.
The return of the Battle of Ontario:
Since the lockout the provincial rivalry between the Leafs and the Ottawa Senators has lost some luster with the teams (before this season) going in opposite directions. However if the Senators commit to a rebuild we could see both teams gradually improving along similar time lines which should make for increasingly competitive games and perhaps playoff meetings as early as three years from now. The Battle of the Rebuilds will be awesome.
One more for a bonus:
Farewell to Schadenfreude
There are plenty of leaf haters out there both in the media and fans of other teams. Many are unabashedly reveling in the current state of the organization but are still annoyed at the loyalty and insufferable (to them) optimism of Leaf Nation. Here’s a little warning: If you think we are annoying and insufferable now. Wait till we get competitive again and if you think that will be bad you better hope and pray the team doesn’t win a Cup. Leaf Fans: I can’t wait to rub everyone of their collective noses in it. Can you?
* Possibly not included in recent FTBs because of “repellently right wing views”
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